Khimik-Avgust vs Orenburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
12º
10º
23
2º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Khimik-Avgust
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FKK
1 - 0
ZEN
53%
20%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZEN
2 - 0
FKK
38%
22%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 0
FKK
27%
21%
52%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FKK
2 - 3
FCN
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ZEN
5 - 1
FKK
18%
19%
63%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -3 |
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ORE
1 - 1
FCN
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 1
ORE
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 0
FKK
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 2
ORE
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ORE
3 - 1
ZEN
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |