Karosta vs Madona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
RIG
1 - 3
FKK
10%
15%
75%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
FKK
1 - 3
PRE
53%
19%
28%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
FKK
9 - 1
FKM
84%
11%
6%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
FKK
0 - 7
RIG
6%
12%
82%
|
30 | 64 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
FKK
5 - 3
TAL
80%
12%
7%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Madona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
FKK
9 - 1
FKM
84%
11%
6%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |