FS Jelgava vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
9º
6º
23
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 79 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 37 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 36 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 35 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKJ
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 1
CAR
12%
21%
67%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 0
FKJ
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
GRO
1 - 1
FKJ
60%
20%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 0
FKJ
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 2
SUP
48%
24%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 0
SUP
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
SUP
4 - 0
FSM
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUP
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SUP
0 - 0
TRA
39%
23%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |