Ilpar Ilyinsky vs Zenit Izhevsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilpar Ilyinsky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
FII
1 - 1
MMM
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
TOB
2 - 2
FII
9%
14%
77%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FII
10 - 0
MSU
93%
5%
2%
|
34 | 5 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
IRT
1 - 2
FII
17%
18%
65%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FST
3 - 3
FII
31%
22%
47%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit Izhevsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
DIN
3 - 1
ZEN
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
IRT
2 - 1
ZEN
67%
20%
12%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
ZEN
2 - 0
FST
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
ZEN
1 - 1
KRS
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
VNO
2 - 2
ZEN
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |