Ilpar Ilyinsky vs Zvezda Perm II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.3%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
8º
3º
14
9º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 17 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilpar Ilyinsky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 5
FII
8%
14%
78%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SKO
0 - 2
FII
15%
17%
68%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FII
7 - 0
IRT
88%
8%
4%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
FII
16%
18%
66%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FII
5 - 2
UFA
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Zvezda Perm II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SZP
1 - 2
FKT
27%
21%
52%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FMA
6 - 1
SZP
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SZP
2 - 2
FCC
15%
18%
68%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MMM
0 - 0
SZP
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SZP
3 - 0
FAS
65%
18%
18%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |