FK FarDU vs Aral Nukus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+226%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
6º
5º
28
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 32 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 29 |
2º
|
76.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 7 |
6º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 11% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 89% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK FarDU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
FKL
0 - 0
FAR
70%
19%
12%
|
11 | 63 | 52 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
FAR
0 - 1
FKO
9%
15%
76%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
NAV
3 - 1
FAR
82%
14%
5%
|
11 | 67 | 56 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
FKO
2 - 1
FAR
72%
18%
10%
|
11 | 58 | 47 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
NEF
3 - 1
FAR
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 66 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2025 |
FKO
2 - 1
ORO
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
ORO
3 - 0
SEM
19%
21%
60%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 0
ORO
15%
20%
66%
|
50 | 11 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
FKL
2 - 0
ORO
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
XOA
0 - 2
ORO
5%
12%
84%
|
51 | 11 | 40 | 0 |