Dunav Ruse II vs Sportist General Toshevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
13º
10º
15
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunav Ruse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
FSV
3 - 1
DOR
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 3
CHE
34%
22%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -3 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SHU
0 - 1
DOR
29%
22%
50%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
4 - 0
BOT
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 0
DOR
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sportist General Toshevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SGT
1 - 3
DOR
14%
16%
70%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UST
2 - 0
SGT
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SGT
2 - 1
LOR
74%
14%
12%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SVE
5 - 1
SGT
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SGT
0 - 4
LUD
8%
13%
79%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | -1 |