Dunav Ruse II vs Lokomotiv Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
13º
10º
20
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 81% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunav Ruse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SVE
3 - 0
DOR
64%
19%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
LUD
15%
21%
64%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +4 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SEP
3 - 0
DOR
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 7
CMV
26%
21%
53%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -3 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CHE
4 - 0
DOR
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LOR
4 - 0
DOR
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
UST
1 - 0
LOR
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LOR
3 - 0
SVE
7%
17%
76%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | +9 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LUD
6 - 2
LOR
95%
4%
1%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 2
SEP
5%
19%
76%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | 0 |