Chernihiv vs Viktoriya Sumy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
14º
13º
3
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
7 | 59 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 58 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 54 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 49 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 46 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 46 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 44 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 41 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 39 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 38 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 37 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 32 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 31 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 29 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 28 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
46% | 74% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32.5% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
20.5% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
PRO
1 - 0
FKC
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
MEZ
0 - 2
FKC
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
FKC
3 - 0
MEZ
47%
23%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
SST
0 - 1
FKC
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
FKC
3 - 2
SST
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Viktoriya Sumy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
MYK
0 - 2
PRY
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
FKK
0 - 0
MYK
27%
23%
49%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
POL
0 - 0
MYK
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
LNZ
0 - 0
MYK
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
KOL
0 - 1
MYK
60%
25%
15%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |