Chernihiv vs Khust City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
9º
7º
26
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 20 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 19 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 18 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 18 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 17 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 14 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 9 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 8 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 7 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 4 |
10º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
48.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
51.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BUK
4 - 0
FKC
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FKC
2 - 2
POK
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NYV
2 - 1
FKC
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
FYM
2 - 0
FKC
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FNB
0 - 0
FKC
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Khust City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FKC
4 - 2
HSP
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MEZ
1 - 4
FKC
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FKC
0 - 2
FCZ
18%
19%
63%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BUK
6 - 0
FKC
32%
22%
45%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
FKC
1 - 2
FKA
23%
22%
55%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |