FK Bodo Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
5º
2º
22
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
42 | 62 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
|
1º
|
42 | 60 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 54 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 51 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 41 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
73.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
79% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
17.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Bodo Glimt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
BOG
3 - 0
BBS
48%
22%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
BOG
4 - 0
AIK
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
HAU
0 - 4
BOG
17%
23%
60%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
BOG
2 - 4
VKG
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
BOG
4 - 0
RBK
48%
22%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
RBK
2 - 2
S08
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
S08
1 - 1
BRY
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FFK
1 - 1
S08
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
S08
0 - 1
TRO
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
EGE
1 - 3
S08
24%
21%
55%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |