Bashkimi vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
9º
8º
1
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
3 | 41 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 36 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 36 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 36 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 35 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 28 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 28 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
|
6º
|
1 | 27 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 27 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 24 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 23 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23.5% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashkimi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 1
ARE
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
BAS
0 - 2
KFP
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 1
FER
47%
22%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ARK
1 - 1
BAS
48%
21%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
CSS
0 - 0
BAS
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
TIK
0 - 0
RAB
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
TIK
3 - 0
MAK
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
TIK
0 - 0
NOV
76%
15%
8%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
ANT
0 - 0
TIK
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
AFK
0 - 2
TIK
46%
22%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |