Bashkimi vs Osogovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
12º
8º
30
12º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashkimi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
POB
0 - 1
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OHR
0 - 2
BAS
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
KUM
0 - 1
BAS
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TET
0 - 1
BAS
19%
19%
62%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
1 - 1
BAS
9%
14%
77%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Osogovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
OSO
4 - 0
TET
29%
21%
50%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BES
3 - 0
OSO
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
OSO
0 - 2
KGE
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PEL
2 - 1
OSO
81%
14%
6%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
OSO
1 - 1
ARE
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |