FK TSC vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
11º
3º
77
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK TSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ZEL
2 - 3
BAC
18%
24%
58%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BAC
1 - 0
RAD
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 2
BAC
26%
26%
49%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAC
2 - 0
AIK
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BAC
2 - 3
SES
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CRV
3 - 0
ČUK
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NPA
0 - 3
CRV
18%
23%
60%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 1
VOZ
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 1
BVR
80%
13%
7%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 0
MLA
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |