Arsenal Tivat vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
10º
4º
45
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 2
FKA
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
2 - 5
PAK
10%
14%
76%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MLJ
1 - 1
FKA
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
FKA
4 - 0
MLJ
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
FKA
5 - 3
GRB
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 1
PET
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
BUD
6 - 0
PET
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
PET
1 - 1
SUT
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
DEC
2 - 1
PET
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PET
0 - 4
IKD
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |