Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
DEC
1 - 3
FKA
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
4 - 0
FKA
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 1
BOK
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 1
PET
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SUT
1 - 2
FKA
53%
24%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 3
SUT
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 1
OUL
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OUL
2 - 2
DEC
44%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
JED
1 - 0
OUL
36%
28%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OUL
3 - 1
JEZ
43%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +3 |