Arsenal Tivat vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
10º
4º
50
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 0
FKA
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 3
IKD
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 3
IKD
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
FKA
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
IKD
1 - 3
FKA
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 3
SUT
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
DEC
1 - 1
SUT
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 0
DEC
23%
27%
50%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DEC
3 - 0
PET
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
SUT
3 - 1
DEC
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -2 |