Arsenal Tivat vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
JED
1 - 1
FKA
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
FKA
1 - 3
MOR
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
DEC
2 - 0
FKA
68%
21%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FKA
0 - 1
IGA
28%
28%
44%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
KOM
0 - 1
FKA
52%
27%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
DEC
4 - 1
OUL
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
DEC
0 - 3
IKD
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SUT
2 - 0
DEC
70%
20%
11%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
DEC
1 - 3
KOM
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BUD
3 - 1
DEC
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |