FK Alushta vs FC Gvardiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Alushta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SKT
4 - 0
ALU
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 5
TSK
8%
13%
79%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
YAL
7 - 0
ALU
47%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
FC Gvardiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 4
KYB
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FIZ
1 - 5
FCG
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SKT
3 - 1
FCG
47%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |