Aksu vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
10º
14º
13º
34
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aksu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KAI
4 - 1
AKS
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AKS
2 - 0
KAI
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MAQ
2 - 0
AKS
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
AKS
0 - 1
OKZ
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KYZ
1 - 0
AKS
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 1
KAS
63%
23%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
MAQ
1 - 1
TOB
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 1
TOB
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
KYZ
1 - 1
TOB
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 2
ZHE
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |