Five Islands vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
50.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
7º
16º
16º
26
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 31 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
93% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 6 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Five Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VLI
5 - 0
FIV
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
EGF
3 - 0
FIV
62%
19%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
OTT
3 - 1
FIV
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
FIV
1 - 4
BLU
89%
9%
3%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FIV
1 - 4
WIL
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 7
GRE
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
TRY
0 - 3
SAP
42%
21%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
HOP
1 - 5
SAP
48%
22%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
SWE
2 - 1
SAP
45%
21%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ORO
3 - 3
SAP
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |