First Vienna II vs NAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 4
DON
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SCF
0 - 3
FIR
50%
23%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 3
STA
21%
23%
56%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
SSH
0 - 0
FIR
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FIR
2 - 0
ADM
28%
23%
50%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 0
SCW
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
DON
3 - 1
NAC
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
DON
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SCF
2 - 2
NAC
15%
20%
66%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
GER
76%
15%
10%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |