La Fiorita vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 2
COS
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
3 - 2
DOM
82%
14%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 0
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 0
FOL
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 4
FIO
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
3 - 1
VIR
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 0
SGI
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TPE
5 - 1
VIR
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 2
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 4
COS
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |