La Fiorita vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 0
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
FIO
27%
25%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 2
FIO
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 0
FIO
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 3
SGI
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIR
56%
22%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 3
PEN
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 1
PEN
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |