Fiorenzuola vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 1
FIO
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 1
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 0
FIO
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 0
FIO
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 1
LEC
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 1
FCS
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 1
MAN
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
LEC
39%
27%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 1
JS2
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |