Fiorentino vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 0
FIO
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DOM
2 - 3
FIO
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 3
TFI
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 1
FAE
24%
22%
55%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FAE
3 - 1
FIO
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
FAE
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
4 - 1
MUR
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DOM
1 - 1
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 2
VIR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 1
VIR
65%
22%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |