Fiorentino vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
DOM
2 - 2
FIO
46%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 4
FIO
12%
18%
71%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 3
FIO
12%
22%
66%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 1
FIO
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TPE
6 - 0
FIO
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 2
TPE
10%
20%
70%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TFI
0 - 0
FOL
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 1
FOL
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 2
VIR
13%
23%
64%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 2
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |