Fiorentina vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
24%
29%
47%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
ACM
1 - 2
FIO
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1996 |
ATL
0 - 2
FIO
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
PIA
0 - 1
FIO
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
FIO
1 - 4
ROM
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 2
VIC
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
VIC
2 - 2
SAM
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
USC
1 - 1
VIC
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
VIC
0 - 1
PAR
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
CAG
2 - 0
VIC
52%
27%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |