Conference League . 1/16
Global 7-2
Fiorentina vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 1
EMP
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 4
FIO
58%
22%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 2
BOL
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 1
TOR
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 0
ARO
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 4
FIO
58%
22%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
SPB
6%
16%
78%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
38%
25%
38%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SPB
4 - 1
FAM
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |