Serie A Round 17

Fiorentina vs Sampdoria analysis

Fiorentina Sampdoria
88 ELO 88
16.2% Tilt -4.3%
19º General ELO ranking 381º
Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
49.9%
Fiorentina
22.9%
Draw
27.1%
Sampdoria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
Fiorentina
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.1%
Win probability
Sampdoria
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fiorentina
-4%
-1%
Sampdoria

ELO progression

Fiorentina
Sampdoria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 1997
REG
Reggiana
0 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
22%
26%
52%
88 75 13 0
05 Jan. 1997
FIO
Fiorentina
3 - 0
Napoli
NAP
64%
20%
16%
87 86 1 +1
22 Dec. 1996
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 0
Cagliari
CAG
65%
19%
16%
87 84 3 0
15 Dec. 1996
UDI
Udinese
2 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
36%
26%
38%
87 82 5 0
08 Dec. 1996
FIO
Fiorentina
4 - 1
Perugia
PRG
79%
14%
7%
87 75 12 0

Matches

Sampdoria
Sampdoria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 1997
SAM
Sampdoria
4 - 1
Cagliari
CAG
67%
19%
14%
88 83 5 0
05 Jan. 1997
UDI
Udinese
4 - 5
Sampdoria
SAM
32%
25%
43%
88 82 6 0
22 Dec. 1996
SAM
Sampdoria
2 - 1
Vicenza
VIC
70%
18%
11%
88 84 4 0
15 Dec. 1996
INT
Inter
3 - 4
Sampdoria
SAM
52%
24%
24%
88 89 1 0
08 Dec. 1996
SAM
Sampdoria
0 - 1
Juventus
JUV
39%
25%
36%
88 91 3 0