Fiorentina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1964 |
ACM
2 - 1
FIO
64%
19%
16%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
CAT
2 - 0
FIO
24%
26%
51%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 3
INT
42%
26%
33%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
TOR
0 - 3
FIO
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
CAG
0 - 1
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1964 |
MOD
0 - 0
TOR
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
SPA
0 - 0
MOD
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
MOD
3 - 3
ROM
26%
25%
48%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
MOD
1 - 0
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |