Fiorentina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CAG
2 - 1
FIO
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
3 - 2
GEN
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LAZ
0 - 2
FIO
55%
25%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 1
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
ACM
15%
24%
61%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ACM
2 - 0
PAL
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
FCB
4 - 0
ACM
85%
10%
5%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 2
ACM
23%
24%
54%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ACM
3 - 0
LAZ
58%
22%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |