Fiorentina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1933 |
LEO
1 - 0
FIO
31%
22%
47%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
PRO
1 - 2
FIO
20%
19%
61%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
PAL
72%
15%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
JUV
34%
24%
43%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
FIO
3 - 0
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
LAZ
0 - 2
BOL
38%
26%
35%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1933 |
ACM
0 - 0
LAZ
63%
20%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 1
LAZ
51%
21%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAS
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
LAZ
1 - 2
TRI
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |