Serie A round 14

Fiorentina vs Juventus analysis

Fiorentina Juventus
85 ELO 88
-6% Tilt -27.7%
19º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.4%
Fiorentina
28.2%
Draw
32.5%
Juventus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
Fiorentina
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.5%
Win probability
Juventus
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fiorentina
-2%
-8%
Juventus

ELO progression

Fiorentina
Juventus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 1974
CES
Cesena
0 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
34%
31%
35%
84 73 11 0
06 Jan. 1974
FIO
Fiorentina
4 - 1
Cagliari
CAG
59%
24%
17%
84 82 2 0
30 Dec. 1973
VIC
Vicenza
2 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
33%
32%
35%
84 71 13 0
23 Dec. 1973
ROM
Roma
0 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
39%
31%
30%
84 79 5 0
16 Dec. 1973
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Inter
INT
41%
27%
32%
84 87 3 0

Matches

Juventus
Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 1974
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 0
Juventus
JUV
37%
27%
35%
88 81 7 0
13 Jan. 1974
JUV
Juventus
2 - 1
Roma
ROM
82%
13%
6%
88 79 9 0
06 Jan. 1974
JUV
Juventus
2 - 0
Inter
INT
63%
20%
17%
88 87 1 0
30 Dec. 1973
SAM
Sampdoria
1 - 2
Juventus
JUV
20%
30%
51%
88 75 13 0
23 Dec. 1973
CAG
Cagliari
2 - 1
Juventus
JUV
29%
30%
41%
88 81 7 0