Fiorentina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
INT
1 - 1
FIO
77%
16%
8%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
FIO
1 - 1
BAR
64%
23%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
JUV
2 - 1
FIO
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1990 |
FIO
0 - 0
LEC
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1990 |
FIO
0 - 0
NAP
41%
29%
30%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1990 |
BOL
3 - 0
ADM
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
PAR
1 - 1
BOL
42%
30%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
BOL
1 - 1
ATL
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1990 |
ADM
3 - 0
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |