Fiorentina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
TOR
6 - 2
FIO
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
FIO
1 - 1
ROM
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
TRI
1 - 0
FIO
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
FIO
5 - 2
LIV
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
INT
0 - 2
FIO
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
ATL
2 - 1
ACM
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
BAR
2 - 2
ATL
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
ATL
3 - 1
VNZ
48%
23%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
BOL
1 - 0
ATL
83%
11%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
76%
14%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |