Fiorentina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 1
FIO
63%
19%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
FIO
1 - 1
ATL
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
TOR
6 - 2
FIO
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
FIO
1 - 1
ROM
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
TRI
1 - 0
FIO
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 3
ACM
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
BOL
5 - 1
BAR
69%
18%
14%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
VNZ
1 - 1
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
BAR
2 - 2
ATL
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
TOR
4 - 0
BAR
70%
17%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |