Finn Harps vs Monaghan United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
ATH
1 - 2
FIN
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
FIN
2 - 1
KIL
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 2
FIN
32%
28%
41%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
FIN
5 - 0
COB
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
KIL
1 - 4
FIN
27%
28%
46%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Monaghan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
MON
3 - 0
GAL
30%
28%
43%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MON
1 - 0
KIL
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
BRW
1 - 0
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
MON
1 - 1
KIL
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
ATH
1 - 0
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |