Finn Harps vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
SHR
1 - 1
FIN
78%
16%
6%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
FIN
1 - 2
SLR
29%
28%
44%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 2
FIN
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
FIN
0 - 1
DRO
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
FIN
1 - 1
DUN
14%
21%
65%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
BOH
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
DRO
1 - 2
DER
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
STP
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 1
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SHR
1 - 1
DER
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |