Finn Harps vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
55.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
WAT
0 - 1
FIN
69%
19%
11%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
UCD
1 - 0
FIN
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
FIN
0 - 0
CAO
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
FIN
2 - 0
SLR
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
STP
1 - 0
FIN
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
DER
3 - 0
SLR
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
DER
0 - 0
UCD
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
DER
2 - 2
DUN
20%
23%
56%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
BOH
0 - 0
DER
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
CAO
1 - 4
DER
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |