European U21 Championship qualifying Qualifying Round Round 15

Finlandia U21 vs Lituania U21 analysis

Finlandia U21 Lituania U21
57 ELO 48
-7.6% Tilt -6.1%
3323º General ELO ranking 7364º
21º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
56.7%
Finlandia U21
22.7%
Draw
20.6%
Lituania U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
Finlandia U21
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.6%
Win probability
Lituania U21
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO progression

Finlandia U21
Lituania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Finlandia U21
Finlandia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2007
LTU
Lituania U21
0 - 1
Finlandia U21
FIN
36%
25%
39%
56 50 6 0
13 Oct. 2007
FIN
Finlandia U21
1 - 0
Eslovenia U21
SVN
45%
25%
30%
56 58 2 0
08 Sep. 2007
FIN
Finlandia U21
3 - 2
Escocia U21
SCO
40%
25%
35%
55 59 4 +1
06 Jun. 2007
DEN
Dinamarca U21
0 - 1
Finlandia U21
FIN
79%
13%
7%
53 72 19 +2
03 Sep. 2006
FIN
Finlandia U21
1 - 5
Rusia U21
RUS
20%
21%
59%
54 66 12 -1

Matches

Lituania U21
Lituania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2007
LTU
Lituania U21
0 - 3
Dinamarca U21
DEN
15%
21%
65%
49 72 23 0
17 Oct. 2007
LTU
Lituania U21
0 - 1
Finlandia U21
FIN
36%
25%
39%
50 56 6 -1
11 Oct. 2007
SCO
Escocia U21
3 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
57%
23%
21%
50 59 9 0
11 Sep. 2007
LTU
Lituania U21
0 - 0
Eslovenia U21
SVN
38%
26%
37%
50 58 8 0
07 Sep. 2007
DEN
Dinamarca U21
4 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
80%
13%
7%
51 72 21 -1