ASEAN Championship Group Stages Round 4

Philippines vs Thailand analysis

Philippines Thailand
58 ELO 73
5.5% Tilt -1%
5429º General ELO ranking 1816º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
16.4%
Philippines
19.6%
Draw
64%
Thailand

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
Philippines
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
64%
Win probability
Thailand
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Philippines
+8%
-15%
Thailand

ELO progression

Philippines
Thailand
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Philippines
Philippines
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2018
TLS
East Timor
2 - 3
Philippines
PHL
8%
17%
75%
57 23 34 0
13 Nov. 2018
PHL
Philippines
1 - 0
Singapore
SGP
62%
21%
17%
57 51 6 0
13 Oct. 2018
OMA
Oman
1 - 1
Philippines
PHL
75%
18%
7%
56 78 22 +1
09 Oct. 2018
PHL
Philippines
0 - 2
Tajikistan
TJK
40%
24%
36%
57 58 1 -1
06 Sep. 2018
BHR
Bahrain
1 - 1
Philippines
PHL
67%
20%
13%
57 71 14 0

Matches

Thailand
Thailand
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2018
THA
Thailand
4 - 2
Indonesia
IDN
68%
18%
13%
73 57 16 0
09 Nov. 2018
TLS
East Timor
0 - 7
Thailand
THA
5%
12%
83%
72 23 49 +1
14 Oct. 2018
THA
Thailand
1 - 0
Trinidad and Tobago
TTO
42%
24%
34%
72 72 0 0
11 Oct. 2018
HKG
Hong Kong
0 - 1
Thailand
THA
9%
14%
77%
71 53 18 +1
02 Jun. 2018
THA
Thailand
0 - 2
China
CHN
33%
27%
41%
73 82 9 -2