Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 1
FFL
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FFL
0 - 1
COR
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FFL
0 - 4
FLU
38%
25%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 0
FFL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 1
ATM
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 1
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
AVA
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
BRU
1 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |