Figueirense vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
21.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
AMF
0 - 1
FFL
71%
20%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
CUI
0 - 0
FFL
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
FFL
0 - 1
PAR
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 0
FFL
49%
26%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
FFL
0 - 0
CON
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
GUA
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
BRA
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 2
GUA
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
OES
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 2
NAU
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |