Figueirense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 0
FFL
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
FFL
0 - 0
PPE
64%
20%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
FFL
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 2
FFL
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 1
NAU
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 1
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 2
VAS
31%
25%
45%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 1
BAH
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAH
66%
22%
13%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
BAH
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |