Figueirense vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1976 |
FFL
0 - 2
GRE
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
DES
1 - 0
FFL
36%
29%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
RIO
0 - 0
FFL
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
PAL
4 - 0
FFL
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1976 |
FFL
1 - 0
AVA
62%
23%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
CAX
1 - 0
AVA
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
CAX
0 - 0
PAL
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
CAX
2 - 1
SCI
25%
25%
51%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
GRE
1 - 0
CAX
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAX
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |