Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 3-2
Figueirense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 1
SPO
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
ATM
1 - 1
FFL
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
FFL
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 2
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 2
FFL
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 1
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
ATM
1 - 1
FFL
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
ATM
25%
27%
48%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ATM
0 - 2
GRE
64%
21%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
GOI
0 - 0
ATM
24%
27%
49%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |