Fidenza vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MAS
3 - 0
FID
71%
17%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FID
1 - 3
THE
25%
24%
51%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FID
0 - 0
SAC
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
FID
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FID
0 - 2
MAS
22%
23%
56%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
RIC
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAC
0 - 0
VIR
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
IMO
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CLO
0 - 2
VIR
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 5
VIR
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +2 |