Fidelis Andria vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
FIA
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
LEC
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
CAT
23%
27%
50%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 0
FIA
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FIA
2 - 0
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PAG
3 - 1
MAR
51%
27%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
USF
2 - 2
PAG
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 2
CAS
19%
28%
54%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAT
3 - 0
PAG
85%
11%
4%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 1
LEC
10%
21%
69%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | +1 |