Serie C Grupo C. Jor. 9

Fidelis Andria vs ACR Messina analysis

Fidelis Andria ACR Messina
41 ELO 43
-26.9% Tilt -15.8%
3626º General ELO ranking 3278º
93º Country ELO ranking 81º
ELO win probability
30.1%
Fidelis Andria
27.7%
Draw
42.2%
ACR Messina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
Fidelis Andria
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.2%
Win probability
ACR Messina
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fidelis Andria
+7%
+10%
ACR Messina

Points and table prediction

Fidelis Andria
Their league position
ACR Messina
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
10º
20º
19º
41
14º
20º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Catanzaro
97
97
100%
Crotone
78
78
100%
Pescara
63
63
100%
Picerno
60
60
0%
Audace Cerignola
60
60
0%
Calcio Foggia
59
59
100%
Monopoli
52
52
100%
Latina
47
47
100%
SSC Giugliano
47
47
100%
Virtus Francavilla
12º
46
46
10º
0%
Potenza Calcio
11º
46
46
11º
0%
Taranto
10º
46
46
12º
100%
Juve Stabia
13º
46
46
13º
0%
Avellino
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
17º
40
42
16º
100%
ACR Messina
16º
41
41
17º
100%
Gelbison
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Fidelis Andria
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Viterbese
20º
31
33
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fidelis Andria
ACR Messina
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Fidelis Andria
ACR Messina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fidelis Andria
Fidelis Andria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
PES
Pescara
3 - 0
Fidelis Andria
FIA
80%
14%
6%
41 59 18 0
08 Oct. 2022
FIA
Fidelis Andria
0 - 4
Catanzaro
FCC
11%
23%
66%
42 62 20 -1
04 Oct. 2022
AVE
Avellino
1 - 0
Fidelis Andria
FIA
70%
19%
10%
42 55 13 0
01 Oct. 2022
FRA
Virtus Francavilla
2 - 1
Fidelis Andria
FIA
68%
20%
12%
43 50 7 -1
24 Sep. 2022
FIA
Fidelis Andria
1 - 1
Picerno
PIC
20%
26%
55%
42 50 8 +1

Matches

ACR Messina
ACR Messina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
MES
ACR Messina
0 - 1
Gelbison
GEL
43%
28%
29%
44 47 3 0
08 Oct. 2022
AUD
Audace Cerignola
3 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
59%
22%
20%
45 48 3 -1
04 Oct. 2022
CRO
Crotone
2 - 2
ACR Messina
MES
84%
12%
5%
45 64 19 0
01 Oct. 2022
MES
ACR Messina
1 - 0
SSC Giugliano
SSC
42%
26%
32%
44 45 1 +1
24 Sep. 2022
FCC
Catanzaro
3 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
69%
20%
11%
45 61 16 -1
X